Crawl Across the Ocean

Tuesday, May 26, 2009

Hoocoodanode?

I was flipping through Jane Jacobs' 2004 book 'Dark Age Ahead ' last night and came across the following passage that I thought I'd pass along for all the economists and pundits out there who offer their plaintive cry of 'hoocoodanode?' with respect to the collapse of the U.S. housing bubble,

"As prices of houses and condominium prices rise, owners can continually borrow more against the rising value of these assets. In Canada, ratios of household debt to household income are thus at record levels.

The miracle of money growing on houses operates even more potently in the United States, where mortgage interest is deductible from income tax and where purchases of resale houses reached record high levels in 2002, as their prices rose to record high levels and mortgage interest rates fell to record low levels. Perhaps the conservative think-tank economist quoted above foresaw and welcomed this bubble. It will burst, either if rising prices significantly push up inflation rates, hence also interest rates, or else if house price inflation slows, halts or retreats."

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3 Comments:

  • As prices of houses and condominium prices rise, owners can continually borrow more against the rising value of these assets.I guess I'm old school but I thought the idea was to pay down your debts while the value of your assets rose so that at some point in the future you were worth more than you were when you took on the debt.

    By Blogger KevinG, at 12:36 PM  

  • Totally old school.

    Stick with the herd, take on as much debt as you can, and the government will bail you out since they can't let the whole herd drown.

    It works for Wall Street...

    By Blogger Declan, at 6:31 PM  

  • Damn, and I suppose by now it's probably too late to invest in those "new economy" companies that magically don't need to make any money?

    By Blogger KevinG, at 6:48 AM  

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