Here's something to keep in mind next time you see some poll results from Ipsos-Reid. Also, something a little funnier than Canada's inaction with regard to climate change...
1) Paulitics writes a post
showing how in the last few Federal polls, Ipsos-Reid has been an outlier, consistently showing much higher support for the Conservative party than other pollsters. There are also some suggestions
in the post
made by commenter 'Martinp
' in the comments to the original post that this might be linked to the fact that Ipsos-Reid generally does its polling work for Conservative media establishments.
2) Jim Harris, former leader of the Green Party, sees the Paulitics post and cross-posts it on the Green Party site here
3) John Wright, who works for Ipsos-Reid, drops by the comment section of Paulitics to threaten legal action
"So, folks, let’s not waste time and words on “freedom of the web” and anything that says we are trying to “intimidate you”…honestly, good political discourse is fun…but when this stuff gets said and is now posted and defacto endorsed by a national political party, it is over the line.
By way of this blog, you and the Green Party of Canada, are hereby given notice, that if these accusations noted above and now extended to the Green Party site by its former President are not removed and expunged by Monday, December 3, 2007 at 10:00 AM EDT we will be compelled to seek legal redress.
We are very, very serious about this. Please remove the offending parts now and let’s resolve this amiably before we get involved in something more protracted."
It's my uninformed opinion that few words characterize their user more precisely than 'expunged', but I digress.
4) Saskboy comments humourously on the bruhaha here
Note that the original Paulitics post has been edited after the threatened lawsuit. Follow-up from Paulitics here
Meanwhile, patrolling the internet is clearly nothing new for Mr. Wright, as various pieces of debris such as this amusing one-sided conversation
Probably stressful for Paulitics, but just good humour at Mr. Wright's expense from over here. As one of Saskboy's commenters says, it might be more effective for Wright to simply offer some potential explanations for why the Ipsos-Reid methodology (unchanged for 20 years, apparently) has been consistently finding higher levels of support for the Conservative party than other polling outfits recently. Obviously somebody is wrong (which could be due to random sampling of course, but as Paulitics notes, this is quite unlikely given the size and persistence of the gap) and it's the Canadian polling industry on one side and Ipsos-Reid on the other, so you think they'd be interested themselves in what is happening to cause the divergence.
As a final note, I have to say that I find Wright's proud declaration
that, "Darrell Bricker and I have been doing this at the same firm with the same methodology for 20 years and we haven’t changed a thing" a little odd. You'd think that over all those years they could have improved something
, but maybe they've been
too busy threatening to sue people...